MUC-0061-04238-02-02a.pptVIP免费

-1-MUC-0061-04238-02-02a.pptRolandBerger&PartnerGmbH–InternationalManagementConsultantsBarcelona–Beijing–Berlin–Brussels–Bucharest–Budapest–BuenosAires–Detroit–Düsseldorf–Frankfurt–Hamburg–Kiev–LisbonLondon–Madrid–Milan–Moscow–Munich–NewYork–Paris–Prague–Riga–Rome–SãoPaulo–Shanghai–Stuttgart–Tokyo–Vienna–ZurichHolderbankManagement&Consulting–Interimpresentation–Slagsupply2020Zurich,March31,2000-2-MUC-0061-04238-02-02a.pptThisdocumentwascreatedfortheexclusiveuseofourclients.Itisnotcompleteunlesssupportedbytheunderlyingdetailedanalysesandoralpresentation.ItmustnotbepassedontothirdpartiesexceptwiththeexplicitpriorconsentofRolandBerger&Partners.ContentPageA.Currentworkstatus3B.Top-downassessment81.Futureoutputlevels102.Blastfurnaceoutlook203.Steelmakingtechnologytrends314.Feedstockavailability58C.Bottom-upassessment791.Plantsurvey812.Countrysurvey84-3-MUC-0061-04238-02-02a.pptA.Currentworkstatus-4-MUC-0061-04238-02-02a.pptDuringPhase1wehavefocussedonlong-termtrendsaffectingsteelmakingprocessesDegreeofcompletionTopdownassessment1.Forecastoutputlevels70%2.Reviewofexistingblastfurnaces80%3.Assessmentofsteelmakingtechnologytrends70%4.Determinationoffeedstockavailabilityandcost60%Bottom-upassessment1.Assessmentofcurrent/futureplantviabilityStartApr.32.Reviewofcompany/plantstrategicStartApr.3options/plans3.Estimationofmostlikelyslagoutput20%volumes4.Scrutinyofselectedsteelproducing30%countriesPhase1Phase2-5-MUC-0061-04238-02-02a.pptFromAprilonwards,wewillconcentrateonthefieldsurveyA.Topdownassessment1.Studyingavailableforecasts/studies2.Discussingwithsteelorganisations3.Discussingwithplantmakers4.DevelopoutputandmixscenariosB.Bottom-upassessment1.Constructquestionnaire2.Contactrespondents3.Briefinternationaloffices4.Conductinterviews5.InterpretinterviewresultsC.Countrystudies1.Interpretingavailablestudies2.DiscussingwithcountryexpertsConclusionandpresentationFebMarAprMay7MonthWkIssues891011121314151617181920Kick-off(16.02.)Interimpresentation(31.03.)Finalpresentation(19.05.)-6-MUC-0061-04238-02-02a.pptIn-depthdiscussionswithsteelindustryexpertsareon-goingExpertinterviews(selected)PlantmakersSMSDemagKobe/MidrexHYLSA(HYL)VATechLurgiFuchs()()()()OthersUN,IMF,OECD,WorldBankRWI-EssenSteelorganizationsIISIVW-StahlFEHsABAREBDSVRWTHPlantfactsBIRVDEh()()()()follow-uprequired-7-MUC-0061-04238-02-02a.pptBythesametoken,ourinternationalofficeshavestartedtheirrespectivesurveysCountrystudiesResponsible(office)RicardoLins(SãoPaulo)Steeloutput1999[mt]Kick-offbriefingInterviewsCountryreportBrazilChinaIndiaJapanUkraineRogerZhao(Shanghai)AshishWadhwani(NewDelhi)Dr.SatoshiNagashima(Tokyo)Dr.VladimirKonstantinow(Kiew)25,0123,324,394,226,8PersonalTelephonePostalStartingApril3rd2000()()()–()-8-MUC-0061-04238-02-02a.pptB.Top-downassessment-9-MUC-0061-04238-02-02a.pptThetop-downanalysiswillbebasedonownassessmentsaswellasRolandBerger&PartnersindustryexpertiseanddatabasesSlagsupply2020–top-downsurveyAssessmentstepsIssuestobeaddressedInformationsources•regionalconsumption•locationaladvantages/disadvantages•capacityutilization•outputlevels•costeffectiveness:operational/capitalcosts•energyeffectiveness•expectedglobalproductionshare•environmentalimpact•rawmaterials:ironore,scrap,cokingcoal,coke•energy:gas,...