全局近五年完成产值动态分析指标19981999200020012002200320042005140,469164,907181,787201,789261,129317,266450000504000增长率17.40%10.24%11.00%29.41%21.50%12.00%交通固定资产投资15.41%17.64%18.46%8.00%单位：中港第二航务工程局单位：万元年度公路工程水工工程市政工程水利工程产值比重产值比重产值比重产值比重199920002001156,53280.34%24,33512.49%7,2323.71%6,7493.46%2002181,65970.98%49,03319.16%18,4807.22%6,7662.64%2003177,38458.19%111,85936.69%8,7242.86%6,8822.26%合计515,57547.16%185,22716.94%34,4363.15%20,3971.87%公路桥梁水工工程市政工程200511088022.00%14112028%17640035%151203%200711379918.00%17069927%22127635%189673%20108882210.00%22205525%31087735%444115%预测公路桥梁水工工程市政工程水利工程地下隧道投融资合计200511088014112017640015120100802520025200504000200711379917069922127618967126443161163222632218201088822222055310877444112664788822106586888220公路桥梁水工工程市政工程水利工程地下隧道投融资合计200522.00%28%35%3%2%5%5%100.00%200718.00%27%35%3%2%5%10%100.00%201010.00%25%35%5%3%10%12%100.00%2000200120022003200020012002主营业务收入产值182132200371255938304849减主营业务成本16012017770123051027034987.91%88.69%90.06%464357558411102902.55%2.87%3.29%等于主营业务利润173681691517017242099.54%8.44%6.65%加其他业务利润(385)(896)4631117减管理费用120721154012233165686.63%5.76%4.78%减财务费用1398898152241920.77%0.45%0.59%国内总产值(万元)*BEST情况假设自2004年起的增长率,大于等于固定资产投资增长速度*根据90年到98年投资基本不变的历史,预测交通固定资产增长率经过2004年高峰后回落,增长回落但仍然高于GDP增长.预测(亿)*红色为最后取值主营业务税金(收入产值的等于营业利润35133581372545671.93%1.79%1.46%加投资收益49957加营业外收入8458394433减营业外支出394261275243减其他支出1765175415940等于利润总额14412242195447630.79%1.12%0.76%减475673566135732.96%30.03%28.97%等于净利润9661569138834060.53%0.78%0.54%隧道施工17.12%摊铺工程9.17%市政工程10.23%公路施工10.24%港口工程12.27%桥梁行业13.36%公路收费54.75%水利工程12.27%BT10.62%毛利润预测公路桥梁水工工程市政工程水利工程地下隧道投融资2005113541885421644154712374314267720071165322805271511940155154126716201090952966738145454332701520611323毛利润比重200518.42%30.59%35.12%2.51%2.01%7.00%4.34%200715.09%29.53%35.16%2.51%2.01%7.01%8.70%20108.18%26.67%34.29%4.08%2.94%13.67%10.18%净利润预测200520072010主营业务收入产值504000632218888220主营业务毛利润6162777229111249151201896726647主营业务利润465075826284602其他业务利润管理费用284783572350189财务费用401450357074营业利润140151750427340投资收益营业外收入298298298营业外支出293293293其他支出127812781278利润总额121451563425470所得税(利税总额的33%)*利润率计算2003年行业平均利润率*暂时同港口利润率主营业务税金(收入产值的400851598405净利润81371047517065净利润率1.61%1.66%1.92%主营业务毛利润率20009.54%20018.44%20026.65%20037.94%200512.23%200712.22%201012.52%所得税(利税总额的33%)2006200720082009201056448063221870808479305488822012.00%12.00%12.00%12.00%12.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%单位：万元合计161,551176,049194,848255,938304,8491,093,235水利工程地下隧道投融资100802%252005%252005%100%504000126442%316115%6322210%100%632218266473%8882210%10658612%100%8882202003三年平均值88.68%88.84%3.38%3.02%7.94%8.14%5.43%5.65%1.38%0.80%共计(亿)*假设营业税为3%*假设管理费用和产值成比例增长*假设财务费用和产值澄比例增长1.50%1.67%0.00298.44293.1012781.56%1.06%28.49%30.11%1.12%0.74%合计主营业务毛利润率6162712.23%7722912.22%11124912.52%100.00%100.00%100.00%*取四年平均...
